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An IERI – International Educational Research Institute Journal

Table 4 Trend estimates in country means and their linking errors for the PISA Trend from 2006 to 2009 in reading

From: Comparing different trend estimation approaches in country means and standard deviations in international large-scale assessment studies

cnt

Estimate

Linking Error LE

I1

I2

I3

I4

D2

D4

I1

I2

I3

I4

D2

D4

AUS

4.8

3.3

3.4

2.0

8.6

2.0

8.1

5.6

4.6

4.6

3.7

4.6

AUT

 − 15.9*

 − 15.5*

 − 9.2

 − 10.9

 − 6.0

 − 8.5

7.7

9.6

6.9

8.9

6.2

7.8

BEL

7.0

11.7

1.4

4.0

6.0

4.0

7.7

6.4

6.4

6.2

5.7

6.2

CAN

2.8

4.4

 − 2.8

 − 3.8

 − 0.6

 − 3.8

11.5

5.8

8.1

6.7

3.0

6.7

CHE

6.5

11.4

5.0

2.8

12.2

2.8

11.1

11.4

4.5

6.2

5.7

6.2

CHL

15.5*

6.9

 − 7.7

 − 13.7

5.9

 − 6.3

18.9

20.2

10.9

22.7

11.9

19.1

CZE

3.3

4.2

3.7

6.8

10.0

6.8

12.5

13.2

5.5

5.3

4.0

5.3

DEU

4.6

15.9*

11.4

10.5

11.5

10.5

6.3

17.3

8.5

5.7

7.9

5.7

DNK

0.5

 − 1.5

1.4

 − 5.4

0.1

 − 5.7

7.8

14.5

10.4

9.3

6.7

10.0

ESP

24.7*

23.7*

6.5

2.4

9.4

1.7

10.8

9.0

9.0

10.5

11.0

10.2

EST

10.2

11.6

4.1

1.2

7.0

1.2

17.7

14.5

12.2

11.2

9.5

11.2

FIN

 − 9.3*

 − 3.3

 − 6.2

 − 4.6

 − 6.3

 − 10.6

10.4

16.8

14.8

26.8

5.2

10.5

FRA

7.7

9.5

 − 0.5

 − 3.9

3.4

 − 3.9

9.5

8.1

14.1

4.5

5.9

4.5

GBR

5.1

6.9

2.2

6.0

12.8

6.0

10.9

7.7

5.7

4.1

8.0

4.1

GRC

33.8*

22.0

11.1

12.3

19.0

12.3

7.2

8.6

10.8

9.5

8.8

9.5

HUN

17.7*

16.1

9.6

 − 0.5

9.9

4.9

9.5

10.4

3.5

12.8

8.2

8.0

IRL

 − 12.6

 − 16.0

 − 18.2

 − 21.7

 − 15.2

 − 21.7

14.2

14.0

8.3

11.9

6.0

11.9

ISL

16.0*

17.5*

4.1

2.3

12.4

2.3

9.7

11.5

4.2

7.3

7.3

7.3

ISR

38.0*

33.8*

20.2*

16.4

29.5*

16.4*

8.6

8.4

10.8

7.1

7.5

7.1

ITA

24.1*

21.4*

12.9*

12.6*

21.0*

12.6*

9.5

9.5

9.4

11.9

6.0

11.9

JPN

22.0*

14.1

15.1

10.2

14.5

8.8

15.5

11.7

8.4

9.0

4.5

9.4

KOR

 − 12.6*

 − 15.3*

 − 10.8

 − 11.5

 − 1.4

 − 4.5

13.5

8.1

11.0

9.8

6.3

5.7

LUX

2.1

7.4

 − 7.6

 − 7.2

0.6

 − 5.3

10.6

7.6

9.2

14.9

12.1

15.1

MEX

20.9*

24.2*

3.7

1.3

15.4*

1.3

12.5

10.7

10.6

8.2

13.2

8.2

NLD

3.1

7.0

0.7

2.0

2.6

2.0

22.3

20.4

4.0

5.9

7.5

5.9

NOR

21.2*

23.0*

20.8*

16.8

27.6*

24.6*

10.8

15.2

9.0

14.1

8.3

9.0

POL

3.6

 − 1.5

3.8

 − 2.8

1.8

 − 2.8

13.4

13.0

11.9

11.9

8.5

11.9

PRT

21.7*

19.9

12.0

6.6

18.4

6.6

10.7

25.9

9.3

12.6

6.5

12.6

SWE

 − 5.1

5.3

 − 7.0

1.7

9.9

1.7

10.2

15.3

7.6

6.6

11.1

6.6

TUR

33.3*

26.0*

16.4*

20.4

27.8*

20.4

11.7

24.7

8.7

17.0

18.7

17.0

  1. cnt country
  2. *Statistically significant trend estimates (p < .05) with used standard error \({\mathrm{TE}}_{\mathrm{IPD}}\) Estimates in I2, I3, I4, D2 and D4 that significantly differ from I1 are printed in bold