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Large-scale Assessments in Education

An IERI – International Educational Research Institute Journal

Table 3 Posterior model probabilities for top five models

From: Bayesian probabilistic forecasting with large-scale educational trend data: a case study using NAEP

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Model 5

PMP (Boys)

0.40

0.12

0.10

0.08

0.06

PMP (Girls)

0.17

0.16

0.14

0.09

0.06

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