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Table 3 Results from the mediation models where aspects of school climate, student motivation, and self-concept are mediators of the effect of Time on achievement

From: Trend analyses of TIMSS 2015 and 2019: school factors related to declining performance in mathematics

Regression coefficients from Fig. 2

Regression coefficients a

Regression coefficients b

  

Variable

Effect of time on the variable

Effect of the variable on achievement

R2

Indirect effect

School emphasis

− 0.04 (− 0.10)

21.16** (0.06)

0.01

− 0.76 (− 0.00)

School belonging and well-being

− 0.11** (− 0.10)

1.65 (0.13)

0.01*

− 0.19 (− 0.00)

Bullying

− 0.03* (− 0.04)

5.28* (0.03)

0.00

− 0.17 (− 0.00)

Safe environment

− 0.10** (− 0.31)

33.62* (0.07)

0.09**

− 3.24** (− 0.02)

Motivation, interest-enjoyment value

− 0.03 (− 0.02)

0.66 (0.01)

0.00

− 0.02 (− 0.00)

Motivation, utility value

− 0.10** (− 0.08)

2.80 (0.02)

0.01*

− 0.27 (− 0.00)

Self-concept

− 0.12** (− 0.07)

48.02** (0.54)

0.01**

− 5.62** (− 0.04)

  1. *p < 0,05. **p < 0,001. Standardized regression coefficients in parentheses