Skip to main content
# Table 5 Summary of log-predictive scores and Kullback–Leibler divergences for boys and girls in the flexible priors setting

From: Bayesian probabilistic forecasting with large-scale educational trend data: a case study using NAEP

LPS | KLD | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

EBL | HG-3 | HG-4 | HG-UIP | HG-RIC | HG-BRIC | EBL | HG-3 | HG-4 | HG-UIP | HG-RIC | HG-BRIC | |

Boys | ||||||||||||

Uniform | 0.395* | 0.402 | 0.410 | 0.398 | 0.397 | 0.398 | 0.098* | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |

Binomial (m = 2) | 0.397 | 0.404 | 0.411 | 0.403 | 0.401 | 0.403 | 0.097 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.097 | 0.098 |

Binomial (m = 4) | 0.395* | 0.403* | 0.412* | 0.397 | 0.395 | 0.397 | 0.098* | 0.099* | 0.099* | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |

Beta-binomial | 0.397 | 0.405 | 0.412 | 0.407 | 0.405 | 0.412 | 0.097 | 0.098 | 0.099 | 0.098 | 0.097 | 0.098 |

Girls | ||||||||||||

Uniform | 0.397* | 0.406 | 0.412 | 0.401 | 0.400 | 0.401 | 0.095 | 0.096 | 0.097 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |

Binomial (m = 2) | 0.406 | 0.416 | 0.423 | 0.413 | 0.413 | 0.413 | 0.096 | 0.097 | 0.098 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |

Binomial (m = 4) | 0.392* | 0.400* | 0.407* | 0.394 | 0.394 | 0.394 | 0.095* | 0.096* | 0.096* | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 |

Beta-binomial | 0.394 | 0.403 | 0.410 | 0.401 | 0.394 | 0.401 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.097 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |