An IERI – International Educational Research Institute Journal
From: Bayesian probabilistic forecasting with large-scale educational trend data: a case study using NAEP
 | LPS | KLD | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UIP | RIC | BRIC | HQ | UIP | RIC | BRIC | HQ | |
Boys | ||||||||
 Uniform | 0.391 | 0.391 | 0.391 | 0.392 | 0.098 | 0.097 | 0.098 | 0.098 |
 Binomial (m = 2) | 0.391 | 0.396 | 0.391 | 0.397 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.098 |
 Binomial (m = 4) | 0.387 | 0.391 | 0.387 | 0.387 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |
 Beta-binomial | 0.397 | 0.395 | 0.397 | 0.397 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.098 |
Girls | ||||||||
 Uniform | 0.391 | 0.390 | 0.391 | 0.392 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |
 Binomial (m = 2) | 0.401 | 0.402 | 0.401 | 0.405 | 0.097 | 0.096 | 0.097 | 0.097 |
 Binomial (m = 4) | 0.383 | 0.390 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |
 Beta-binomial | 0.393 | 0.390 | 0.393 | 0.395 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.096 |