An IERI – International Educational Research Institute Journal
From: Bayesian probabilistic forecasting with large-scale educational trend data: a case study using NAEP
 | Estimate | Post.SD | HPD.025 | HPD.975 | PSRF | Prior |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boys growth params. | ||||||
 Intercept | 274.782 | 1.300 | 272.116 | 277.226 | 1.000 | dnorm(260,.1) |
 Slope | 0.931 | 0.108 | 0.726 | 1.149 | 1.000 | dnorm(0,1e−2) |
 Pre(intercept) | 88.460 | 19.415 | 55.216 | 127.007 | 1.000 | dwish(iden,3) |
 Pre(slope) | 0.246 | 0.067 | 0.132 | 0.385 | 1.000 | dwish(iden,3) |
Girls growth params. | ||||||
 Intercept | 273.707 | 1.308 | 271.113 | 276.219 | 1.000 | dnorm(260,.1) |
 Slope | 0.902 | 0.122 | 0.669 | 1.142 | 1.002 | dnorm(0,1e−2) |
 Pre(intercept) | 85.114 | 19.065 | 51.593 | 122.738 | 1.000 | dwish(iden,3) |
 Pre(slope) | 0.269 | 0.084 | 0.126 | 0.43 | 1.000 | dwish(iden,3) |