A statistical analysis of the characteristics of the intended curriculum for Japanese primary science and its relationship to the attained curriculum

Matsubara, Kenji; Hagiwara, Yasuhito; Saruta, Yuji

doi:10.1186/s40536-016-0028-0

Large-scale Assessments in Education

An IERI – International Educational Research Institute Journal

Table 4 Credible intervals of each parameter

From: A statistical analysis of the characteristics of the intended curriculum for Japanese primary science and its relationship to the attained curriculum

	N (0,1)		N (0,2.25)		N (0,4)		N (0,5)
	95 % CI		95 % CI		95 % CI		95 % CI
	Lower 2.5 %	Upper 2.5 %	Lower 2.5 %	Upper 2.5 %	Lower 2.5 %	Upper 2.5 %	Lower 2.5 %	Upper 2.5 %
Factor loadings
FA_ BY
SC408AAB	0.898	3.015	1.199	4.503	1.349	5.876	1.436	6.563
SC408AAC	0.947	3.095	1.252	4.536	1.420	5.854	1.528	6.437
SC408AAD	0.437	2.126	0.569	3.086	0.645	4.025	0.688	4.497
SC408AAE	−0.113	1.283	−0.054	1.607	−0.049	1.811	−0.042	1.891
SC408AAF	−0.904	0.613	−1.048	0.677	−1.145	0.709	−1.180	0.726
SC408AAG	−0.956	0.427	−1.132	0.519	−1.273	0.645	−1.354	0.675
FB_ BY
SC408ABB	0.531	2.409	0.329	3.391	0.022	4.380	0.010	4.857
SC408ABC	0.664	2.754	0.347	3.835	−0.092	4.816	−0.178	5.277
SC408ABD	0.298	1.921	0.242	2.693	0.057	3.467	0.032	3.869
SC408ABE	−0.227	1.158	−0.306	1.449	−0.391	1.701	−0.423	1.836
SC408ABF	−0.794	0.709	−0.919	0.831	−0.978	0.964	−1.003	1.052
SC408ABG	−0.857	1.097	−1.180	1.210	−1.572	1.326	−1.727	1.384
FC_ BY
SC408ACB	0.764	2.873	0.958	4.220	1.064	5.467	1.123	6.042
SC408ACC	0.837	3.053	1.067	4.480	1.181	5.825	1.246	6.443
SC408ACD	0.430	1.971	0.337	2.381	0.163	2.672	0.135	2.801
SC408ACE	0.170	1.738	−0.028	2.175	−0.252	2.507	−0.296	2.640
SC408ACF	−0.601	0.797	−0.836	0.788	−1.134	0.764	−1.193	0.761
SC408ACG	−1.426	0.371	−1.842	0.305	−2.207	0.247	−2.351	0.232
FD_ BY
SC408ADB	0.395	1.970	0.462	2.798	0.459	3.680	0.496	4.093
SC408ADC	0.918	3.124	0.836	4.350	0.537	5.442	0.568	5.999
SC408ADD	0.389	1.882	0.345	2.417	0.243	3.004	0.234	3.295
SC408ADE	0.183	1.968	0.139	2.749	0.030	3.466	0.036	3.796
SC408ADF	−0.628	0.906	−0.852	1.017	−1.156	1.097	−1.283	1.141
SC408ADG	−0.922	0.709	−1.170	0.821	−1.380	0.907	−1.468	0.937
FE_ BY
SC408AEB	0.894	2.826	1.169	4.084	1.348	5.231	1.433	5.794
SC408AEC	0.794	2.668	1.061	3.916	1.253	5.146	1.347	5.706
SC408AED	0.927	3.120	1.051	4.415	1.091	5.608	1.129	6.160
SC408AEE	0.024	1.509	0.085	2.110	0.132	2.682	0.159	2.996
SC408AEF	−0.494	0.803	−0.532	0.982	−0.581	1.104	−0.602	1.164
SC408AEG	−0.741	0.511	−0.741	0.608	−0.747	0.681	−0.746	0.714
FF_ BY
SC408AFB	1.177	3.423	1.399	4.854	1.483	6.154	1.551	6.787
SC408AFC	0.795	2.670	0.913	3.701	0.918	4.682	0.928	5.166
SC408AFD	0.986	3.068	1.230	4.382	1.373	5.610	1.441	6.231
SC408AFE	0.490	2.093	0.670	3.019	0.798	4.054	0.843	4.530
SC408AFF	−0.084	1.119	−0.006	1.366	0.041	1.541	0.055	1.598
SC408AFG	−0.138	0.897	−0.065	1.128	−0.020	1.387	−0.006	1.479
F_B BY
SC408AAB	−0.190	1.995	−0.449	2.910	−0.632	3.882	−0.726	4.288
SC408ABB	−0.316	1.287	−0.427	2.279	−0.507	3.454	−0.564	3.911
SC408ACB	−0.690	1.127	−1.017	1.975	−1.248	2.934	−1.363	3.316
SC408ADB	−0.257	1.233	−0.467	1.791	−0.623	2.425	−0.731	2.654
SC408AEB	−0.243	1.521	−0.346	2.415	−0.398	3.441	−0.430	3.876
SC408AFB	−0.222	2.289	−0.442	3.410	−0.612	4.648	−0.679	5.191
F_C BY
SC408AAC	−0.128	2.189	−0.307	3.180	−0.375	4.253	−0.401	4.700
SC408ABC	−0.084	1.835	−0.146	2.979	−0.136	4.224	−0.155	4.723
SC408ACC	−0.701	1.226	−1.058	2.121	−1.370	3.114	−1.477	3.494
SC408ADC	−0.688	1.171	−0.937	2.038	−1.194	2.955	−1.313	3.297
SC408AEC	−0.263	1.507	−0.392	2.354	−0.455	3.254	−0.512	3.661
SC408AFC	−0.208	2.214	−0.382	3.205	−0.459	4.222	−0.494	4.643
F_D BY
SC408AAD	0.141	2.227	0.048	3.203	0.143	4.116	0.169	4.531
SC408ABD	0.011	1.618	−0.038	2.602	0.048	3.764	0.060	4.245
SC408ACD	−0.291	1.116	−0.353	1.632	−0.384	2.168	−0.396	2.345
SC408ADD	−0.222	1.096	−0.267	1.654	−0.264	2.307	−0.271	2.622
SC408AED	−0.630	1.102	−0.829	1.884	−0.906	2.792	−0.946	3.217
SC408AFD	0.014	2.152	−0.083	2.958	−0.114	3.810	−0.131	4.168
F_E BY
SC408AAE	0.505	2.238	0.541	2.755	0.572	3.160	0.579	3.318
SC408ABE	0.522	2.115	0.658	2.842	0.728	3.480	0.746	3.727
SC408ACE	0.425	2.038	0.580	2.813	0.670	3.434	0.691	3.696
SC408ADE	0.777	2.764	1.086	4.073	1.290	5.287	1.366	5.862
SC408AEE	0.668	2.544	0.957	3.707	1.147	4.817	1.227	5.330
SC408AFE	0.191	1.677	0.181	2.170	0.177	2.713	0.171	2.959
F_F BY
SC408AAF	0.733	2.616	0.790	3.429	0.805	4.112	0.803	4.398
SC408ABF	0.818	2.578	0.963	3.471	1.033	4.237	1.052	4.577
SC408ACF	0.623	2.064	0.737	2.642	0.804	3.118	0.825	3.311
SC408ADF	0.800	2.520	0.953	3.489	1.046	4.470	1.076	4.961
SC408AEF	0.613	2.147	0.717	2.810	0.783	3.417	0.803	3.698
SC408AFF	0.560	1.984	0.589	2.387	0.600	2.683	0.600	2.782
F_G BY
SC408AAG	0.744	2.545	0.901	3.496	0.990	4.381	1.028	4.780
SC408ABG	1.175	3.338	1.440	4.668	1.638	5.903	1.729	6.510
SC408ACG	1.189	3.286	1.466	4.563	1.641	5.711	1.709	6.265
SC408ADG	0.952	2.756	1.138	3.693	1.252	4.542	1.290	4.909
SC408AEG	0.478	1.769	0.532	2.047	0.566	2.233	0.576	2.293
SC408AFG	0.343	1.419	0.364	1.625	0.377	1.806	0.382	1.881
Correlations between factors
FB_ WITH
FA_	−0.070	0.892	−0.459	0.836	−0.679	0.807	−0.673	0.799
FC_ WITH
FA_	0.323	0.932	0.073	0.898	−0.101	0.878	−0.108	0.872
FB_	0.471	0.956	0.110	0.935	−0.195	0.919	−0.224	0.914
FD_ WITH
FA_	0.133	0.903	−0.142	0.850	−0.319	0.822	−0.312	0.816
FB_	0.555	0.963	0.210	0.950	−0.129	0.940	−0.147	0.937
FC_	0.569	0.960	0.328	0.944	0.119	0.931	0.102	0.927
FE_ WITH
FA_	0.489	0.955	0.297	0.926	0.134	0.898	0.101	0.889
FB_	−0.230	0.804	−0.511	0.724	−0.693	0.686	−0.693	0.676
FC_	0.114	0.875	−0.061	0.823	−0.196	0.801	−0.211	0.795
FD_	0.013	0.825	−0.170	0.757	−0.337	0.730	−0.356	0.722
FF_ WITH
FA_	0.557	0.958	0.466	0.940	0.394	0.929	0.382	0.927
FB_	−0.262	0.804	−0.549	0.732	−0.719	0.699	−0.711	0.689
FC_	0.044	0.873	−0.151	0.811	−0.276	0.782	−0.286	0.774
FD_	−0.021	0.826	−0.189	0.766	−0.322	0.744	−0.326	0.739
FE_	0.684	0.968	0.554	0.955	0.451	0.943	0.422	0.938
F_C WITH
F_B	−0.385	0.975	−0.497	0.966	−0.469	0.963	−0.479	0.962
F_D WITH
F_B	−0.411	0.974	−0.481	0.960	−0.446	0.952	−0.442	0.949
F_C	−0.222	0.974	−0.324	0.959	−0.268	0.952	−0.274	0.950
F_E WITH
F_B	−0.543	0.967	−0.589	0.939	−0.532	0.923	−0.537	0.918
F_C	−0.360	0.969	−0.397	0.948	−0.348	0.936	−0.343	0.932
F_D	0.202	0.968	0.060	0.944	0.098	0.931	0.096	0.925
F_F WITH
F_B	−0.563	0.973	−0.591	0.957	−0.499	0.937	−0.502	0.928
F_C	−0.396	0.972	−0.396	0.952	−0.325	0.928	−0.325	0.917
F_D	0.167	0.972	−0.001	0.953	0.070	0.931	0.061	0.921
F_E	0.445	0.963	0.384	0.916	0.368	0.894	0.359	0.887
F_G WITH
F_B	−0.565	0.974	−0.596	0.957	−0.498	0.938	−0.506	0.928
F_C	−0.379	0.974	−0.387	0.956	−0.313	0.936	−0.316	0.926
F_D	0.157	0.973	−0.068	0.955	0.014	0.934	0.011	0.924
F_E	0.482	0.964	0.420	0.919	0.403	0.894	0.395	0.886
F_F	0.792	0.974	0.751	0.962	0.731	0.955	0.724	0.953
Thresholds
SC408AAB	−0.822	0.540	−1.109	0.761	−1.383	0.969	−1.517	1.060
SC408AAC	−1.098	0.330	−1.515	0.445	−1.928	0.552	−2.117	0.598
SC408AAD	−1.260	−0.001	−1.713	−0.019	−2.165	−0.033	−2.381	−0.038
SC408AAE	−1.720	−0.449	−2.037	−0.500	−2.296	−0.531	−2.394	−0.542
SC408AAF	−1.521	−0.262	−1.851	−0.298	−2.126	−0.318	−2.237	−0.323
SC408AAG	−1.088	0.041	−1.392	0.015	−1.654	0.001	−1.772	0.000
SC408ABB	0.473	1.791	0.549	2.390	0.607	3.048	0.629	3.392
SC408ABC	−0.565	0.683	−0.760	0.857	−0.945	1.029	−1.038	1.108
SC408ABD	−1.014	0.072	−1.347	0.074	−1.706	0.087	−1.875	0.093
SC408ABE	−1.487	−0.322	−1.857	−0.374	−2.173	−0.410	−2.301	−0.422
SC408ABF	−0.972	0.167	−1.234	0.162	−1.464	0.151	−1.563	0.150
SC408ABG	−0.828	0.536	−1.129	0.630	−1.422	0.714	−1.570	0.755
SC408ACB	−0.232	0.969	−0.314	1.336	−0.398	1.704	−0.430	1.880
SC408ACC	−0.447	0.807	−0.608	1.118	−0.760	1.436	−0.826	1.574
SC408ACD	−0.813	0.176	−0.906	0.201	−0.987	0.221	−1.026	0.227
SC408ACE	−1.235	−0.082	−1.508	−0.088	−1.742	−0.096	−1.843	−0.099
SC408ACF	−0.481	0.502	−0.585	0.539	−0.688	0.563	−0.727	0.572
SC408ACG	−0.490	0.871	−0.735	1.014	−0.981	1.111	−1.094	1.163
SC408ADB	0.875	2.310	0.994	3.006	1.079	3.776	1.113	4.130
SC408ADC	0.298	1.748	0.357	2.306	0.391	2.829	0.404	3.082
SC408ADD	−0.110	0.839	−0.127	0.979	−0.141	1.147	−0.147	1.234
SC408ADE	−1.106	0.219	−1.553	0.243	−2.004	0.247	−2.221	0.249
SC408ADF	−0.415	0.693	−0.572	0.781	−0.735	0.863	−0.811	0.900
SC408ADG	−0.375	0.816	−0.516	0.935	−0.651	1.021	−0.706	1.051
SC408AEB	0.795	2.467	0.989	3.363	1.154	4.227	1.220	4.615
SC408AEC	0.453	1.899	0.545	2.588	0.626	3.294	0.655	3.624
SC408AED	−0.711	0.582	−0.920	0.761	−1.124	0.944	−1.232	1.031
SC408AEE	−1.718	−0.359	−2.398	−0.477	−3.053	−0.576	−3.367	−0.620
SC408AEF	−0.832	0.189	−1.039	0.178	−1.225	0.171	−1.309	0.169
SC408AEG	−0.654	0.241	−0.744	0.229	−0.811	0.222	−0.834	0.219
SC408AFB	−0.331	1.239	−0.456	1.650	−0.597	2.029	−0.674	2.195
SC408AFC	−0.491	0.834	−0.648	1.063	−0.808	1.265	−0.879	1.351
SC408AFD	−1.206	0.250	−1.612	0.311	−1.997	0.364	−2.185	0.387
SC408AFE	−1.287	−0.100	−1.640	−0.128	−2.006	−0.139	−2.178	−0.140
SC408AFF	−0.643	0.360	−0.789	0.352	−0.899	0.343	−0.938	0.341
SC408AFG	−0.340	0.503	−0.389	0.520	−0.430	0.540	−0.445	0.547

FA_: major body structures and their functions in humans and other organisms
FB_: life cycles and reproduction in plants and animals
FC_: physical features, behavior, and survival of organisms living in different environments
FD_: relationships in a given community
FE_: changes in environments
FF_: human health
F_B: grade 1, F_C: grade 2, F_D: grade 3, F_E: grade 4, F_F: grade 5, F_G: grade 6

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